Present Covid surge a ripple, not a wave, claim IIT-Kanpur experts | Lucknow News

LUCKNOW: Even as fresh and active cases have doubled in Uttar Pradesh in the past week, experts at IIT Kanpur monitoring the Covid-19 situation through their mathematical models stated that there was no reason to panic unless new variants came into play. The number of cases and deaths have also gone up nationally over the past two weeks.
“The rise in cases is primarily because of decline in the natural immunity against the pandemic. There may be re-infections but there is no need to worry. Prevention, however, is advised for all,” said IIT-K’s Prof Manindra Agarwal, who has been predicting the pandemic behaviour through his SUTRA (Susceptible, Undetected, Tested (positive), and Removed Approach) mathematical model.
He said that the present surge should not even be called a wave. “It is better to call the recent rise as a ripple rather than a wave. Also, eventually, coronavirus will become a common flu,” he said.
Talking about the surge of cases in Maharashtra and Kerala, Prof Agarwal said: “The two states may peak in the third week of July but the surge will not be alarming as the rate of hospitalisation remains extremely low.”